Trump, Iran War Update: "종료" 선언과 불확실한 합의
President Trump claimed the war with Iran is "ended" and halted further strikes, but Tehran says no final agreement exists. After two days of heavy combat and Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz, diplomacy remains fragile and uncertain.
Iran War News — June 13, 2026
Top Developments
Trump declares war with Iran "over," cancels further strikes
- What happened: President Donald Trump announced on June 11 that the U.S. has "ended the war with Iran" and called off planned follow-up strikes.
- Context: This follows two days of intense exchanges of fire; Trump claimed progress has been made in peace negotiations.
Tehran denies final agreement
- What happened: The Iranian government pushed back against Trump's announcement, clarifying that no agreement with the U.S. has been finalized.
- Context: This highlights the gap between diplomatic progress and ongoing military tensions.
Iran declares full closure of Strait of Hormuz
- What happened: On June 11, the Iranian Navy and the IRGC declared the Strait of Hormuz completely closed "until further notice." The Persian Gulf Strait Authority cited "tensions caused by U.S. military aggression and statements by Iranian militants."
- Scale/Impact: The strait is a critical choke point, handling roughly 20% of global seaborne oil trade.
U.S. strikes Iranian ports and coastal facilities
- What happened: The U.S. military targeted facilities in Karaj and Iranian port infrastructure within the Strait of Hormuz.
- Context: This was part of the intensive two-day engagement between the two sides on June 10-11.
Military Operations
- Iranian retaliatory strikes: Iran launched missiles and drones at various regional targets, including U.S. bases in Kuwait, Bahrain, and Jordan. Authorities in those countries reported all projectiles were intercepted with no casualties.
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U.S. air superiority: President Trump threatened that the U.S. would hit Iran "very hard," with CENTCOM leadership (including Secretary Hegseth) hinting at further preparations. This has been characterized as "diplomacy through coercion."
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Satellite image analysis: According to BBC satellite analysis, over 50 military bases across Iran have sustained damage from U.S. strikes since the conflict began, with confirmed damage to aircraft and naval vessels at several sites.
Diplomatic & Political Front
USA / White House
President Trump mentioned progress in peace talks on June 11, leading to the cancellation of further strikes. According to NPR, Trump also threatened to seize Iran's oil and gas sector. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth hinted that CENTCOM would be "busy tonight," framing the strategy as using bombs to "expand the diplomatic field" for negotiators.
Israel
The Israeli Prime Minister's Office stated that Israel is "not a party to any MOU" between the U.S. and Iran, signaling that the U.S. is pursuing these negotiations unilaterally.
International Community (UN)
UN Spokesperson Stéphane Dujarric stated in a report 12 hours ago (June 13) that the UN is "encouraged" by the possibility of a U.S.-Iran truce. UN Secretary-General Ban Moon previously condemned the military escalation of all conflicts in the Middle East.
Economic & Market Impact
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Oil prices: Brent crude is seeing volatile trading. CNBC reports prices fell after Trump's cancellation of strikes. Intellectia analysis suggests a risk of hitting $100/barrel if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed; currently, it is trading near $97.
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Strait of Hormuz: With Iran's closure, 20% of global oil transit is blocked. The Brookings Institution expects that even if reopened, markets will take months to normalize.
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Financial markets: According to CNBC, U.S. Treasury yields rose on Friday (June 12) on hopes for a peace deal. Investors remain braced for a potential long-term conflict.
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Energy supply: The New York Times reports that corporate and government petroleum and fuel reserves have dropped sharply since the war began, increasing pressure for a peace agreement.
Expert Analysis
Retired U.S. General Mark Kimmitt: In an interview with Al Jazeera, Kimmitt assessed that Washington's recent strikes seem born of frustration with stalled diplomacy rather than new Iranian provocations on the ground—calling it "diplomacy through coercion."
Intellectia Energy Analysis Team: Predicted that if the Strait of Hormuz closure persists, oil could rise above $100/barrel. This assumes supply chain adaptations such as increased non-Middle Eastern supply, the release of strategic petroleum reserves, and demand destruction from high prices.
CNBC Market Analysis: Reports that investors are preparing for a "long grind" and hedging against a prolonged conflict as hopes for an early resolution dim.
At a Glance
| Indicator | Status |
|---|---|
| Tension | High - Mismatch between diplomatic signals and military actions |
| Engagement Intensity | Temporary silence after 2 days of heavy strikes; risk of resumption |
| Brent Oil Price | ~$97/bbl (Upward pressure from Hormuz closure, downward from peace signals) |
| Strait of Hormuz | Closed - Iran declared full closure "until further notice" |
| Diplomatic Channels | Active - U.S.-Iran negotiations ongoing; outcome uncertain |
| Next Milestone | Finalization of U.S.-Iran agreement and Strait of Hormuz reopening announcement |
What to Watch Next
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Finalization of the deal: Whether a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) is signed between Trump and Iran should become clear within the next 48-72 hours. Failure would spike the risk of further attacks.
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Reopening of the Strait of Hormuz: The moment Iran lifts the closure will be the primary trigger for oil market stabilization.
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Israel’s stance: Keep an eye out for potential follow-up policy statements, despite Israel clarifying it is "not a party" to the MOU.
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Oil price sensitivity: A breach of $100/barrel will serve as a primary indicator of whether the diplomatic negotiations are succeeding or failing.
Reader Action Items
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Travel plans: Check U.S. State Department travel warnings. Advisories for Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan, and the Strait of Hormuz area are subject to updates.
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Review energy exposure: If oil tops $100/barrel, it may impact fuel-related stocks, airlines, and logistics companies. Rebalancing your portfolio may be prudent.
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Bookmark reliable real-time sources:
- Reuters Iran War Hub:
- Al Jazeera Live Blog:
- CNN International:
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Monitor official channels: Keep an eye on statements from the U.S. State Department, CENTCOM, and the UN Secretary-General’s office.
cnn.com
reuters.com
aljazeera.com
aljazeera.com
Iranian attack on Kuwait airport kills one and injures dozens - as it happened | Reuters
Iran attacks Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan in retaliation for US strikes | US-Israel war on Iran News | Al
Reuters Iran War: Latest Breaking News, Updates & Analysis | Reuters
US-Israel attacks on Iran: Death toll and injuries live tracker | Conflict News | Al Jazeera
Sources & Reliability
This report cross-references coverage from major international news agencies including CNN, Reuters, Al Jazeera, NPR, BBC, New York Times, Times of Israel, UN News, and CNBC. All facts are based on information released since June 11, 2026. Both Trump’s "war end" declaration and Iran’s "denial of agreement" have been confirmed from source material. Market data was verified via real-time analysis platforms (CNBC, Intellectia).
This content was collected, curated, and summarized entirely by AI — including how and what to gather. It may contain inaccuracies. Crew does not guarantee the accuracy of any information presented here. Always verify facts on your own before acting on them. Crew assumes no legal liability for any consequences arising from reliance on this content.
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