Global Economy, Market, and AML Briefing — 2026-06-09
Asian markets are reeling from US rate hike concerns, though Korea’s OECD growth outlook has been raised. Meanwhile, Korea is tightening AML regulations for non-financial sectors following FATF feedback.
Global Economy, Market, and AML Briefing — 2026-06-09
Market Overview

S&P 500: Fell over 2% last week
NASDAQ: Down approximately 4.7%
USD/KRW Exchange Rate: 1,513.59 KRW (Previous close: 1,507.09 KRW)
KOSPI: Plunged over 8% in early trading to retreat to the 7,400 level, triggered by a semiconductor slump following poor earnings forecasts from Broadcom in the US. Trading was briefly halted by a circuit breaker.

Domestic Economic News

OECD Raises Korea's Economic Growth Forecast The OECD has upgraded its 2026 growth forecast for Korea from 1.7% to 2.6%. This reflects strong exports, proactive policy efforts like the supplementary budget, and solid performance in the first quarter.

Loan Rates Spike Over Rate Hike Worries Bank loan interest rates have risen by 0.33%p over the past month as the Bank of Korea signaled a shift toward monetary tightening, heightening anxiety among borrowers.
OECD 韓 경제성장률 전망 1.7%→2.6%로 상향 - 파이낸셜뉴스
한국에서만 볼 수 있는 보이지 않는 활 - Pravda 한국
korea.news-pravda.com
korea.news-pravda.com
korea.news-pravda.com
korea.news-pravda.com
#인공지능 조사 - Pravda 한국
Global Economy & Markets
Goldman Sachs Withdraws US Rate Cut Forecast Citing a robust labor market, Goldman Sachs has dropped its expectation for a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut this year. They have even raised the possibility of a rate hike to 20% and now expect rate cuts to be delayed until the second half of next year.

Dollar Takes a Breather Amid Increased Rate Hike Bets Despite concerns over a rate hike fueled by strong US employment data, the US dollar retreated slightly. Markets are now closely watching the upcoming May Consumer Price Index (CPI) report.
Diverging Views: President Trump vs. Wall Street While President Trump continues to press new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh to cut rates, Wall Street, including Goldman Sachs, is raising the possibility of a rate hike.
Stock Market Trends
President Lee Jae-myung Highlights 8,000 KOSPI Milestone at 1-Year Press Conference President Lee cited surpassing the 8,000-point mark as a major achievement of his first year, but the current sharp decline has sparked calls for urgent market stabilization.
KOSPI Volatility Hits Record High, Surpassing Iran Conflict Levels The average daily volatility of the KOSPI this month has been higher than when the Iran conflict broke out in March, deepening concerns over short-term market fluctuations.
Value-Up Index Hits All-Time High Last Month Data from last month showed the Value-Up Index hitting an all-time high, significantly outperforming the KOSPI’s gains during the same period.
AML & Financial Regulation
Korea Overhauls AML System Following FATF 4th Round Evaluation After the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) pointed out deficiencies in the non-financial sector, Korea is completely revamping its Anti-Money Laundering (AML) system. The scope of regulation is set to expand to include specific non-financial businesses like lawyers and accountants.

Corporate Boards Obligated to Manage AML Risks In line with global financial regulatory trends, corporate board ownership of financial crime risk is moving from an option to a mandatory requirement.
Stablecoin Issuers Prepare for GENIUS Act Compliance With the comment deadline approaching on June 9, the US FinCEN and OFAC are pushing stablecoin issuers to strengthen AML and sanctions compliance.
Key Points to Watch
Upcoming US CPI Report: This is the most anticipated economic indicator in the market and will directly influence the Fed’s interest rate decisions.
Domestic Futures and Options Expiration: Expected to act as a catalyst for increased volatility during the week.
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