Global Economic, Market, and AML Briefing — Oct 24, 2026
The Bank of Korea kept its base rate unchanged while upgrading growth forecasts, buoyed by a semiconductor boom. With the US Federal Reserve widely expected to hold rates in October, South Korea's Kospi dropped over 3% driven by sharp declines in Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. In AML developments, the UK FCA launched discussions on DeFi regulations, while domestic payment providers saw a reduction in AML personnel.
Global Economic, Market, and AML Briefing — Oct 24, 2026
Market Status
As of October 22, 2026 (local time), major US indices closed lower across the board. The S&P 500 index fell 93.74 points (1.2%) to close at 7,663.43. On the same day, South Korea's Kospi index plummeted 201.89 points (3.52%) to finish at 5,533.77. The Kosdaq index also started weak and opened at 789.84.

Domestic Economic News
BOK Raises Growth Outlook and Freezes Base Rate The Monetary Policy Board of the Bank of Korea unanimously kept the base rate steady at 3.00% on October 22. However, driven by a strong semiconductor sector boom, the bank projected that growth rates for this year and next will significantly exceed previous forecasts. It also predicted that inflation will remain above the 2% target for quite some time due to accumulated cost pressures.

Governor Shin Hyun-song Warns of High Inflation The BOK pointed out that while semiconductors are buying time for the South Korean economy, discussion is needed on whether to use this breathing room for future structural improvements. Regarding future monetary policy, Governor Shin hinted at plans to weigh the timing of potential additional hikes while monitoring inflation, economic conditions, and financial stability.

Global Economy & Markets
US Fed Likely to Hold Rates in October Expectations are leaning toward a base rate freeze at the October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting of the US Federal Reserve. The market prices in about an 85–86% probability of a freeze, while keeping a close eye on the possibility of an additional hike in December.

US Economic Indicators and Outlook In September 2026, 66% of monitored US sectors showed expansion, with GDP and inflation projected at 2.3% and 3.3%, respectively. However, the housing and automotive sectors are facing purchasing power burdens.
Stock Market Trends
Kospi Closes Down Over 3% On October 22, the Kospi dropped 201.89 points from the previous trading day to close at 5,533.77, slipping back to the 5,500 range. Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix plunged 4% to 5% concurrently following the end of their treasury stock buybacks, leading the index decline.

Kospi Defends 5,500 Level with Rebound After falling for two consecutive days, the Kospi bounced back on October 23, defending the 5,500 level. The rebound was driven by SK Hynix surging over 4% following news that Solidigm canceled its US IPO.

AML & Financial Regulation
UK FCA Opens Consultations on DeFi and Crypto Regulation Standards The UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has launched official consultations on anti-money laundering and financial crime compliance standards for DeFi companies, as well as the scope of exemptions for certain cryptoasset regulations. This is a preparatory measure for the new regulatory framework taking effect in 2027.

AML Personnel Decrease at Three Domestic Payment Firms Dedicated anti-money laundering personnel across three major payment providers—Naver Pay, Kakao Pay, and Toss Payments—dropped by 19.2% from 52 to 42 over a period of one year and nine months. This contrasts with banks, securities firms, and crypto exchanges, which increased their headcount during the same period.

Key Highlights
US Fed October FOMC Meeting Ahead The US Federal Reserve’s FOMC meeting is scheduled for October 28 (local time). The market expects an 85% probability of a base rate freeze, with attention focused on whether an additional hike will occur in December.
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