Today’s Top Stories — April 4, 2026
The Iran-U.S.-Israel conflict has hit its fifth week with major escalations: two U.S. military aircraft were shot down, Iran struck Gulf oil refineries, and a 40-nation UK-led coalition is threatening action over the Strait of Hormuz blockade. Meanwhile, Indonesia was hit by a 7.4-magnitude earthquake in the North Maluku Sea that briefly triggered tsunami warnings, and March 2026 inflation dropped to 3.5%, back within Bank Indonesia’s target range.
Today’s Top Stories — April 4, 2026
🔴 Top Headline
Two U.S. military aircraft downed, Iran attacks Gulf oil refineries
- What happened: Two U.S. military aircraft have crashed in separate incidents — one F-15 jet was shot down over Iranian territory, and another went down near the Strait of Hormuz. One crew member was rescued. Iran also launched attacks on oil refineries in Gulf nations, including Kuwait and Bahrain.
- Why it matters: This marks the most serious escalation in the war, now in its fifth week. Attacks on Gulf energy infrastructure threaten global oil supplies, directly impacting energy prices and Indonesia's fiscal balance.
UK-led coalition of 40 countries vows action over Hormuz Strait blockade
- What happened: UK Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper is leading a 40-nation coalition pledging action against Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Cooper accused Iran of "holding the global economy hostage" by blocking one of the world's most strategic shipping lanes.
- Why it matters: The Strait of Hormuz handles about 20% of the world's oil supply. A prolonged blockade could worsen the global energy crisis and put pressure on the currencies and trade balances of oil-importing countries like Indonesia.

7.4-magnitude earthquake strikes Indonesia, Manado bridge swings violently
- What happened: A 7.4-magnitude earthquake struck the North Maluku Sea on April 2, 2026, triggering a tsunami warning that was later lifted. In Manado, North Sulawesi, footage showed a suspension bridge swinging violently. One fatality was reported, and several buildings sustained damage.
- Why it matters: Powerful earthquakes in this region pose constant threats to lives and infrastructure. Even though the tsunami warning was lifted, the incident serves as a reminder of Eastern Indonesia’s vulnerability to geological disasters.
Indonesia holds fuel prices to maintain growth and social stability
- What happened: Indonesia has decided not to raise subsidized fuel prices despite rising global oil pressure caused by the Iran war. Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa warned that fuel hikes could damage economic growth and threaten social stability.
- Why it matters: While the decision eases short-term public concern, it increases pressure on the state budget amidst volatile global oil prices. This is a major test for the Prabowo administration’s fiscal resilience.
Scottish crime boss detained in Bali; extradition to Spain delayed twice
- What happened: Indonesian authorities in Bali arrested Steven Lyons, a suspected Scottish crime boss, upon his arrival from Singapore. Lyons was on an Interpol Red Notice at Spain’s request. His extradition to Spain has been delayed twice in a row.
- Why it matters: The case highlights the role of Indonesia — specifically Bali — as a transit point and hideout for international criminal suspects, as well as the complexities of Interpol cooperation across different legal jurisdictions.
💰 Economy & Business
Indonesia’s March 2026 inflation falls to 3.5%, back within BI target
- Indonesia's inflation in March 2026 fell to 3.5% year-on-year, down from 4.8% in February. The figure is back within Bank Indonesia’s target range of 1.5–3.5%. The decline was driven by reduced price pressure in the housing, water, electricity, and household fuel sectors (+7.2% yoy).
Indonesia maintains fuel prices amid global oil volatility
- The Indonesian government confirms it will not raise subsidized fuel prices in April 2026, despite the Iran conflict continuing to drive up world oil prices. This decision aims to protect purchasing power and maintain economic growth, which is targeted at 5.4% this year.
- Fiscal risks remain significant: swelling energy subsidies could widen the budget deficit if global oil prices continue to surge.
Trump claims U.S. could "take Iranian oil" as energy markets remain volatile
- U.S. President Donald Trump stated the U.S. could "easily" reopen the Strait of Hormuz and even claimed he could "take Iran’s oil" if given more time. The remarks triggered volatility in global energy markets, with oil prices fluctuating due to conflict uncertainty.
- For Indonesia, a net oil importer, high oil prices mean a heavier subsidy burden and pressure on the rupiah exchange rate.
🌏 World News
Fifth week of Iran war: Tehran infrastructure hit, UN to vote on Hormuz
- Airstrikes destroyed a major toll bridge outside Tehran and a prominent public health institution in Iran. President Trump celebrated the attacks after previously threatening to take Iran "back to the Stone Age."
- Iran retaliated by attacking Israel and Gulf states while maintaining its grip on the Strait of Hormuz, Tehran’s greatest strategic advantage in this war.
- Connection to Indonesia: Disruption of the Strait of Hormuz threatens global energy and commodity supplies. As a net oil importer with a strained fuel subsidy budget, Indonesia faces direct fiscal risks from this protracted conflict.

Iran shoots down second U.S. aircraft; UN prepares to vote on Hormuz
- Iran claims to have shot down a second U.S. military aircraft in the Gulf region. Meanwhile, the UN Security Council is set to hold a vote on the Strait of Hormuz amid intensifying diplomatic pressure from Western nations.
- Connection to Indonesia: Indonesia has long called for a peaceful resolution to the Middle East conflict. Jakarta's position as an ASEAN leader and a non-permanent member of the UN Security Council puts it under pressure to take a firmer stance.
No signs of war easing: Israel, Kuwait, Bahrain all attacked
- As of Friday, April 3, the war in the Middle East shows no signs of easing. Israel reported incoming attacks from Iran, while Kuwait and Bahrain also claimed to be targets of Iranian fire in the widest escalation since the war began.
- Connection to Indonesia: The escalation involving oil-rich Gulf states increases the risk of supply disruptions for LNG and crude oil, both of which are essential to Indonesia’s energy needs.
📱 Trending
1. Earthquake and viral video of the Manado bridge Dramatic footage of a suspension bridge in Manado swaying violently during the 7.4-magnitude earthquake has gone viral on Indonesian social media. Thousands of users shared the clip, sparking discussions about disaster preparedness and infrastructure resilience in Eastern Indonesia.
2. Fate of fuel prices: No increase this April The government's decision to hold fuel prices steady amid global oil volatility is being widely discussed on X (Twitter) and digital platforms. Some users feel relieved, while others question the sustainability of subsidies if the Iran war continues and crude oil prices keep rising.
3. Scottish crime boss arrested in Bali News of Steven Lyons' arrest in Bali has gone viral, sparking widespread commentary on Bali as a "haven" for international fugitives and questions regarding the protracted legal extradition process.
👀 Watch list
1. Iran war escalation and its impact on global oil prices With two U.S. jets down and Iran attacking Gulf refineries, the conflict could be entering its most dangerous phase. Keep an eye on whether the UN vote on Hormuz leads to a resolution and how the U.S. military responds next. Global oil prices depend heavily on these developments — directly affecting Indonesia’s state budget (APBN).
2. Extradition process of Steven Lyons from Bali to Spain After two consecutive delays, the resolution of the Scottish crime boss's extradition case remains a story to follow. There is a complex diplomatic dimension involving Indonesia, Spain, and Interpol, with potential legal challenges from Lyons that could prolong the process.
3. Indonesia’s fiscal pressure amidst fuel subsidies and high oil prices The decision to hold fuel prices is a socio-political choice, not purely economic. If global oil prices continue to soar due to the Iran war, Indonesia's fiscal deficit could widen. Monitor the state budget, the rupiah’s position, and potential shifts in subsidy policies in the coming weeks.
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