Today's Headlines — 오늘 주요 뉴스
The Indonesian Rupiah has hit a record low of Rp17,000 per US dollar, putting massive pressure on the government's budget as they struggle to keep fuel prices stable amid the ongoing Iran-US-Israel conflict. Meanwhile, Indonesia’s capital market kicks off Q2 2026 with mixed signals, even as the mutual fund industry shows some positive growth despite the volatility.
Today's Headlines — April 6, 2026
Rupiah hits historic low, threatening the state budget (APBN)
- What’s happening: The Rupiah has plunged to Rp17,000 against the US dollar, its worst performance in history. Economists warn this is pushing the state budget (APBN) toward a wider deficit, especially with global energy prices remaining high.
- Why it matters: This sharp depreciation makes it very difficult for the government to maintain current fuel prices, as the cost of oil imports is skyrocketing. Without intervention, a budget deficit is becoming a real risk.

Fuel prices may stay stable for only a few more weeks
- What’s happening: Economists suggest the government can only hold off on fuel price hikes for a short period as global oil prices surge due to the Iran-US-Israel conflict. The government says prices won't change yet and that stocks are secure, with new austerity measures in place since April 1.
- Why it matters: If they keep holding prices down, the government might be forced to borrow more or slash ministerial budgets and regional transfers, which could have painful long-term consequences.

JK presents activist and academic recommendations to Prabowo
- What’s happening: Jusuf Kalla (JK) reportedly presented recommendations from activists and academics to President Prabowo regarding government policy on April 5, 2026, amid growing economic and social tension.
- Why it matters: This input from civil society and academia signals mounting public pressure on how the government handles the ongoing energy and fiscal crisis.
Iran-US-Israel conflict hits day 35; Tel Aviv struck by missiles
- What’s happening: The military conflict between the US/Israel and Iran is now on its 35th day and intensifying. Missiles reportedly hit Tel Aviv, sparking fears of a full-scale regional war.
- Why it matters: This escalation is directly driving up global oil prices, which in turn hurts Indonesia’s economy through higher import costs and a weaker Rupiah.

Economy & Business
Mutual funds grew 3.02% in March 2026, AUM hits Rp695 trillion
The OJK reports that the mutual fund industry grew by 3.02% in March 2026, with Net Asset Value (NAB/AUM) reaching Rp695 trillion. Even with stock market corrections, investors still see mutual funds as a relatively stable, diversified option.
Q2 2026 market outlook: Geopolitics and the Rupiah are key
Analysts say the market in Q2 will be driven by global dynamics—geopolitical tensions, interest rate paths, and commodity prices. Domestic factors like the Rupiah's stability and fiscal policy will also dictate the stock exchange's performance.
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Government claims Rp204.4 trillion in savings via WFH and fuel cuts
The government claims to have saved Rp204.4 trillion through WFH policies and fuel consumption limits, but economists warn that if kept up for too long, these measures could drag down national economic growth.
World News
Strait of Hormuz and hopes for Asia markets
Asia-Pacific markets saw a temporary boost from hopes that the Strait of Hormuz might reopen after being affected by the Iran conflict. This provided a brief positive sentiment for regional exchanges, including Indonesia's.
Iran and US troops race to find downed American jet
Iranian and US forces are reportedly competing to locate a US fighter jet that crashed inside Iranian territory, adding another layer of complexity to the already tense situation.
Easter 2026 celebrated amidst global uncertainty
Christians in Indonesia and across the globe celebrated Easter 2026 this weekend. Locally, celebrations took place under the cloud of an economic downturn triggered by the global energy crisis and the weakening Rupiah.
Keep an eye on
- Fuel prices and the APBN: With the Rupiah at 17,000 and global oil volatility, look for government announcements on fuel prices in the coming weeks.
- Iran-US-Israel conflict: The ongoing intensity of this conflict will continue to influence global energy supplies and the stability of Asian markets, including Indonesia.
- IHSG and Rupiah performance: After the long Easter weekend, the market's performance this week will set the tone for Q2, with currency and geopolitics remaining the top factors to watch.
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