대한민국 주택 청약 최신 브리핑 — 2026-05-29
지난주 서울 핵심지(흑석, 노량진)의 고가 분양이 마무리되며 청약시장에 현금부자가 쏠리는 현상이 뚜렷해졌어요. 라클라체자이드파인 잔여세대 청약은 최고 1726대 1이라는 엄청난 경쟁률을 기록했죠. 반면 4월 전국 1순위 평균 경쟁률은 10개월 연속 한 자릿수인 6.70대 1에 머물며 시장 침체가 이어지고 있네요.
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지난주 서울 핵심지(흑석, 노량진)의 고가 분양이 마무리되며 청약시장에 현금부자가 쏠리는 현상이 뚜렷해졌어요. 라클라체자이드파인 잔여세대 청약은 최고 1726대 1이라는 엄청난 경쟁률을 기록했죠. 반면 4월 전국 1순위 평균 경쟁률은 10개월 연속 한 자릿수인 6.70대 1에 머물며 시장 침체가 이어지고 있네요.
남양주왕숙2지구 공공분양이 본청약에 들어서며 이번 주 가장 뜨거운 감자로 떠올랐습니다. 더샵 송도그란테르 역시 1순위 청약에 1만 8천 명이 몰리며 인기를 증명했는데요. 수도권 신축 단지로 수요가 쏠리면서 지방 시장과 뚜렷한 양극화 현상이 계속되고 있네요.
As of May 20, The Sharp Songdo Granterre started its first-tier subscription, drawing attention to the Incheon Songdo market. Meanwhile, "remnant" (musuni) subscriptions for top-tier Seoul projects like Raemian Ellavine (2nd round) and La Clache Xi The Pine are attracting intense interest from buyers. The market is becoming increasingly polarized, with high demand for key locations in the metropolitan area while provincial areas continue to struggle with unsold homes.
이번 주 서울 동작구 노량진과 강서구 방화6구역에서 무순위(줍줍) 청약이 나와 실수요자들의 관심을 끌고 있어요. 수도권 청약 시장은 신축 희소성 때문에 고분양가에도 수요가 몰리는 '불패' 흐름이 이어지고 있지만, 한편에서는 당첨이 어렵다고 느껴 청약통장을 해지하는 2030 세대가 늘어 제도 개편 목소리도 커지고 있네요. 인천 구월 '힐스테이트구월아트파크'와 경기 부천 '중앙하이츠원종역' 등이 이번 주 1순위 청약을 진행 중이니 참고하세요!
Despite record-high presale prices, demand for new apartments in the Seoul Metropolitan Area remains high due to their scarcity. In prime locations like Yongsan, "lottery" subscriptions at prices from three years ago are drawing massive interest. Additionally, as of May 15, 2026, LH has announced the supply of remaining units for officetels in the Administrative City and blocks in Incheon Yeongjong.
The housing market is buzzing this week: Hillstate Guwol Art Park (Namdong-gu, Incheon, 496 units) is drawing attention by allowing homeowners to apply, while "lottery" residue subscriptions in prime Seoul areas offer potential gains of over 1.4 billion won compared to prices from three years ago. Despite controversy over high prices, a complex in the Gangbuk area saw a 26.91:1 competition rate. Meanwhile, the government is cracking down on "perfect score" subscription accounts and fake residency filings for dependents. With polarization intensifying toward regulated and transit-oriented areas in the capital region, being picky about the right complex is more important than ever.
The hottest topic in the market this week is the emergence of "lottery" residual (musunwi) housing units in prime locations like Yongsan, Seoul. Because these are offered at prices from three years ago, applicants could see a market value gain of up to 1.4 billion won, triggering massive competition. On the regulatory front, the government is launching a nationwide investigation into "perfect score" subscription accounts to crack down on illegal activities like sham address transfers. While the outlook for Seoul apartment subscriptions remains "sunny" due to demand from the tight rental market, the polarization between the capital region and the provinces is deepening.
The government is cracking down on fraudulent subscriptions with a full-scale investigation into score-based applicants. Meanwhile, "lottery" style, no-subscription-account-needed opportunities are emerging in prime Seoul areas like Yongsan, offering units at prices from three years ago. With rising jeonse prices, demand for new homes in Seoul remains high for May.
During the second week of May, 15 complexes across the country are opening for subscription with approximately 4,881 units, marking a surge in supply across both the metropolitan area and the provinces. On May 11, the government officially announced a comprehensive investigation into subscription fraud in regulated areas and popular complexes, focusing specifically on "perfect-score" accounts. Meanwhile, the Seoul apartment presale outlook index for May has reached a "sunny" rating, as demand stemming from the current rental crisis drives expectations in the subscription market.
Today, May 7th, is the first-round subscription date for The Sharp Gwanjeo Arte in Daejeon and Yongin Yangji Seohui Starhills Highview in Gyeonggi Province. Meanwhile, over 14,000 new units are set to hit the regional market this May. While competition in the Seoul Gangnam area remains fierce due to price caps, a widening gap is emerging between prime, high-demand areas and less favorable sites, making selective property analysis more critical than ever.
With over 14,000 new units hitting the provincial market in May, demand is surging for Seoul’s price-capped apartments, pushing the winning score threshold to 70 points. Out of nearly 110,000 applicants nationwide in March, 93,000 were focused solely on Seoul. As the gap between the capital and the provinces widens, strategic planning is becoming more crucial than ever for homebuyers.
5월 지방에는 1만 4,000가구 이상이 쏟아지지만, 입지와 가격에 따라 청약 성적표가 완전히 갈릴 것으로 보여요. 서울 핵심 단지로는 수요가 몰리며 '로또급' 청약 열기가 뜨거운 반면, 지방 10곳 중 8곳은 미달되는 극명한 온도 차가 계속되고 있습니다. 특히 래미안 라그란데와 더샵 분당센트로의 무순위 청약이 큰 관심을 받고 있네요.
This week’s standout development was Seoul’s Gongdeok Station Xi Rene, which sold out all types in the first round with an average competition ratio of 79.98:1. Meanwhile, new announcements were made for metropolitan areas under the price ceiling system, such as Anyang Everfore Naturian e-Pyeonhansesang. It’s becoming clear that a score in the 70s is the new standard for winning bids in Seoul, making point management more critical than ever. While regional areas with deregulation benefits are emerging as niche targets, the performance gap between the capital and the provinces continues to widen.
공덕역자이르네가 1순위 경쟁률 79.99대 1을 기록하며 서울의 뜨거운 열기를 보여줬고, 당첨 가점이 70점대를 기록하는 등 고득점 경쟁이 치열해요. 국토교통부는 4월 30일부터 3기 신도시를 중심으로 3,100호의 입주자 모집을 시작하며 상반기 총 1.34만 호 공급에 나섰습니다. 시장은 수도권 역세권과 분양가 상한제 단지로 수요가 쏠리는 양극화 현상이 계속되고 있네요.
이번 주 청약 시장은 서울 마포구 ‘공덕역자이르네’가 1순위 경쟁률 약 80대 1을 기록하며 서울 핵심 입지에 대한 뜨거운 관심을 다시 한번 입증했습니다. 국토교통부는 4월 30일, 3기 신도시를 중심으로 공공주택 3,100호에 대한 모집공고를 시작하며 상반기 총 1만 3,400호 공급 계획을 본격화했습니다. 전국 1순위 경쟁률은 6.99대 1로 반등하며 시장 회복세를 보이고 있지만, 서울 지역 당첨 커트라인은 70점대로 치솟는 양극화 현상이 뚜렷해지고 있습니다.
As of April 30, 2026, the "Gongdeok Station Xi Rene" in Mapo-gu, Seoul, has become the week’s hottest project, recording an average competition rate of 79.99 to 1 in the first-round of subscriptions. While nationwide competition for private apartment subscriptions rebounded to 6.99 to 1 in March, market polarization remains strong, with demand heavily concentrated on projects subject to price caps in Seoul. Meanwhile, public housing special supply notices for Incheon Geomdan and Namyangju Wangsuk 2-jigu are currently being accepted, attracting attention from non-homeowners.
The Gongdeok Station Xi Rene in Mapo-gu, Seoul, emerged as the week's hottest project with an average competition rate of 80:1 for first-tier applicants. Nationally, the first-tier competition rate for private apartments climbed to 6.99:1 in March, marking a rebound after two months, with demand heavily concentrated on non-Gangnam transit-oriented developments in Seoul.
Jaiyur Gongdeok Station in Mapo-gu, Seoul has emerged as this week's hottest complex, recording an average competition ratio of roughly 80-to-1 in first-priority subscription. The national March first-priority subscription competition rate for private apartments rebounded to 6.99-to-1 after two months, while Seoul recorded 147.85-to-1, signaling intensifying demand concentration in the Seoul metropolitan area. New applications for Seoul's special disabled-person agency-recommended allocation for public-sale complexes in Incheon's Geomdan and Namyangju Wangsuk 2 opened on April 29.
2026년 4월의 마지막 주, 전국에서 약 3,500가구가 청약 시장에 나오며 '벚꽃 분양' 시즌이 막바지에 다다랐습니다. 공덕역자이르네와 강릉우미린더프리미어 등이 주목받는 가운데, 서울의 고분양가 단지들도 실수요자들의 높은 관심을 받고 있습니다. 한편, 5월에는 서울과 인천 검단신도시에서 대형 단지들의 격돌이 예고되어 있지만, 이와 동시에 지난 2년간 200만 명의 청약통장 가입자가 이탈하는 이중적인 시장 흐름이 관찰되고 있습니다.
The final week of April sees 3,559 units up for grabs across 11 locations in Korea. Key projects like Gongdeok-yeok Xi Rne and Gangneung Umi Lynn the Premiere are taking applications as of April 28. New housing policies for 2026 will soon relax special supply rules for multi-child households (including 2-child families) and remove "marriage penalties," boosting chances for newlyweds and families with children. While Q1 competition rates dipped slightly due to a supply drought in Gangnam, market momentum is expected to shift with the upcoming "big match" in the capital region this May.
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