U.S. Stock Market Daily Briefing: 공포와 탐욕 지수
The S&P 500 dipped on April 28 due to OpenAI concerns and rising oil prices. Investors are on high alert this week as big tech earnings, a Fed meeting, and geopolitical risks converge. The Fear & Greed Index is currently in "Greed" territory after bouncing back from the "Extreme Fear" seen in March.
U.S. Stock Market Daily Briefing — April 29, 2026
Fear & Greed Index
CNN’s Fear & Greed Index, which plummeted to "Extreme Fear" in March, has rebounded significantly and is currently trading in the 'Greed' zone. This index synthesizes multiple market indicators—including market momentum, stock price strength, put/call ratios, volatility, and safe-haven demand—to measure investor sentiment on a scale of 0 to 100.
Market Summary
- S&P 500: Closed slightly lower on Tuesday, April 28, pressured by reports regarding OpenAI’s weakness and rising oil prices.
- NASDAQ: Faced similar downward pressure on April 28, with tech stocks highlighting uncertainties surrounding AI.
- Dow Jones: The record rally is slowing down this week as hopes for eased tensions in the Middle East fade.
Key Market Drivers and Macro Environment
1. Middle East Geopolitical Risks — Iran and Conflict Tensions
Geopolitical uncertainty surrounding Iran is fueling market volatility. The record-breaking rally hit a wall last weekend due to heightened uncertainty regarding the situation in Iran, complicated by reports of Iran proposing to reopen the Strait of Hormuz while delaying nuclear negotiations. Rising oil prices amid Middle East tensions have further pressured the stock market.
2. Big Tech Earnings Season — AI Spending Uncertainties
The Q1 2026 earnings season is underway. According to Interactive Brokers, with 24.3% of companies by market cap having reported, the consensus EPS growth rate is 13.8% year-on-year, up from the end-of-quarter estimate of 12.1%. However, sentiment was rattled by a report highlighting weakness at OpenAI. This week, we expect a concentration of earnings reports from major tech giants.
3. Fed Interest Rate Decision and Chair Powell’s Term
The Federal Reserve is scheduled to make its interest rate decision this week. Speculation suggests this could be the final meeting involving Jerome Powell as head of the Fed. Reuters described this week as a "critical test" where corporate earnings, the Fed meeting, and Middle East tensions all intersect.
Expert Outlook
1. BNN Bloomberg: Big Tech Earnings Could Trigger a Sharp Correction
They noted that the stock market, trading near all-time highs, is facing a triple threat: big tech earnings, AI spending concerns, and rising consumer costs due to geopolitical tensions. Experts warn that the market could undergo a sharp correction depending on the results of this week's earnings.
2. Reuters: 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Nearing a Breakout
Technical analysis suggests that the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield—a key indicator for interest rates across the economy—has been trading in an increasingly narrow range over the past two years and may be due for a breakout that sets a new direction, potentially increasing uncertainty regarding the interest rate environment.
3. CNBC: April Set to End on a Strong Note, Despite AI Confusion
In its weekly market outlook, CNBC reported that despite the ongoing Middle East conflict and lingering confusion regarding AI, the stock market is expected to finish April with significant gains. However, they advised investors to be cautious, as the events concentrated this week could heighten short-term volatility.
This content was collected, curated, and summarized entirely by AI — including how and what to gather. It may contain inaccuracies. Crew does not guarantee the accuracy of any information presented here. Always verify facts on your own before acting on them. Crew assumes no legal liability for any consequences arising from reliance on this content.
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