US Stock Market Daily Briefing: Fear and Greed Index and Market Overview
Although US stocks closed higher last Friday (Sep 25), futures traded lower early Monday (Sep 28) due to surging oil prices and rising Treasury yields. Renewed US-Iran tensions are driving up oil and yields, weighing heavily on market sentiment. The Fear & Greed Index recently dropped to 37.0, lingering in the "Fear" zone.
US Stock Market Daily Briefing — 2026-09-28
Fear & Greed Index
The CNN Fear & Greed Index registered 37.00 as of 2026-09-25. With a range of 0 to 49 indicating "Extreme Fear to Fear," the market currently exhibits a sentiment heavily tilted toward fear.
Market Key Summary
As of the close last Friday (Sep 25):
- S&P 500: Rose 37.96 points (+0.49%) to 7,742.09
- NASDAQ: Rose 125.51 points (+0.47%) to 27,064.88
- Dow Jones: Rose 469.07 points (+0.91%) to 51,819.05
Futures markets opened lower today (Sep 28). According to Investrade morning briefings, Dow futures fell 252 points (-0.48%, 51,911), S&P 500 futures dropped 42.25 points (-0.59%, 7,761), and Nasdaq futures declined 315.50 points (-1.02%, 30,573).
Key Market Drivers & Macro Environment
- Surging Oil and Rising Yields: Crude oil prices and US Treasury yields spiked on Monday (Sep 28), putting downward pressure on the stock market.
- Renewed US-Iran Tensions: The US rejected Iran's proposal to reopen the strait, driving up oil prices and yields. This week is expected to be a "tug-of-war" between geopolitical risks and upcoming inflation and employment data.
- Persistent High Interest Rate Concerns: The possibility of prolonged high interest rates acts as a source of anxiety for investors worried that "something is bound to break eventually."
- 10-Year Yield Rise: The 10-year yield rose by about 7 bps, adding weight to the decline in futures markets.
Market Expert Outlook
- Tickmill Patrick Munnelly (Partner: Market Strategy): Commenting that "Crude & Curves Clip Confidence," he analyzed that renewed US-Iran tensions caused bonds and stocks to start with a defensive tone.
- CNBC Outlook for Next Week: Pointing out that this week (Sep 28–Oct 2) will feature a clash between inflation/employment data and geopolitics, CNBC warned that the potential persistence of high interest rates remains a major market anxiety factor.
- Seeking Alpha: With the S&P 500 near all-time highs, it evaluated that Magnificent 7 (Mag 7) stocks continue to lead the market despite the sharp rise in interest rates.
※ Screenshot-based data extraction may be imperfect; please verify key figures on the original page.
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