U.S. Stock Market Daily Briefing — 2026-05-01
The S&P 500 climbed 1% on Thursday, April 30, reaching an all-time high and capping off April with its best monthly performance—over 10%—since November 2020. While strong earnings from Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon boosted the market, Meta’s plan to increase capital spending sparked investor worry. With solid corporate earnings supporting sentiment, the Fear & Greed Index has been recovering from recent weeks of extreme fear.
U.S. Stock Market Daily Briefing — 2026-05-01
Fear & Greed Index
The CNN Fear & Greed Index has been showing signs of recovery, moving out of the "Extreme Fear" zone observed over the past few weeks. According to finhacker.cz, the index measures investor sentiment on a scale of 0 to 100, where lower values indicate greater market fear and higher values suggest a market dominated by greed (optimism). Recent strong performances in big tech and the S&P 500’s climb to record highs are seen as contributors to this improvement.

Key Market Summary
- S&P 500: Rose 1% on Thursday, April 30, setting a new all-time high. It saw a monthly gain of over 10% in April, marking its best monthly return since November 2020.
- Dow Jones: Jumped about 400 points on April 30, driven by an earnings surprise from Caterpillar.
- NASDAQ: Experienced mixed movement due to varied results from big tech companies; Alphabet rose, while Meta fell sharply.

Major Market Drivers and Macro Environment
1. Big Tech earnings vs. Meta capital expenditure concerns Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon reported strong results in their cloud computing businesses, reinforcing positive outlooks for the AI boom. Conversely, Meta Platforms saw its stock record its largest decline in six months after raising its 2026 capital expenditure guidance, fueling concerns over whether massive investments in AI competition will translate into profits.

2. Federal Reserve holds rates steady On Wednesday, April 29, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged. This decision drew significant market attention, with some speculating it could be Fed Chair Jerome Powell's final rate decision. Major indices showed mixed reactions following the announcement, but big tech earnings ultimately shifted the market mood.
3. Oil price spike and Iranian blockade threats Oil prices surged following remarks from President Trump suggesting preparations for a long-term blockade of Iran. Although oil prices fell on April 30, creating a mixed factor for the market, the Dow maintained its gains, supported by strong industrial earnings from companies like Caterpillar.
Market Expert Outlook
1. Sustainability analysis of the bull market based on Dow Theory Reuters reported that technical analysts are examining the sustainability of the current bull run using Dow Theory, noting that the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are hitting record highs despite geopolitical risks, inflation, and AI uncertainty.

2. AMD, expectations for increased data center GPU demand AMD rose on April 29 following an analyst upgrade. The analyst provided a positive outlook ahead of the company's earnings release, anticipating that demand for data center GPUs will become even stronger due to the ongoing construction of AI infrastructure.
3. Caterpillar earnings surprise shifts focus to industrials The strong earnings performance from Caterpillar on April 30 significantly boosted the Dow Jones. The Motley Fool analyzed that the earnings surprise from this bellwether industrial stock helped offset the mixed results from big tech, drawing expert attention to market diversification.
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