Stock Response Strategy Report — 2026-07-25

1. Market Trends and Stock Price Factors by Key Ticker

• Oracle (ORCL): On July 24, the company signed a massive $6.99 billion contract with the U.S. government, causing its stock to rise by 2.33%. Meanwhile, in the previous session, tech stocks were generally weak due to concerns over private equity loan defaults.

• Samsung Electronics (삼성전자): The stock surged during the day on July 23 due to excitement surrounding AI semiconductors but gave back much of its gains by the end of the session. The current price is 268,000 KRW, up 2.88% from the previous day, and it is estimated that the company will supply over 60% of HBM for Google servers.

• Samsung Electro-Mechanics (삼성전기): The company's stock jumped by up to 8% after signing a long-term supply contract for MLCCs (Multi-Layer Ceramic Capacitors) for AI servers worth 29.51 billion KRW. Brokerages like Mirae Asset Securities analyze that its price negotiation power will strengthen amid the supply shortage.

• Alphabet (Google): Shares fell 7% after the announcement of approximately $20 billion in Capex for 2026. The market expressed concern over profit pressure caused by excessive AI infrastructure investment.

• Overall Market: As conflicts in the Middle East intensified, the price of Brent crude exceeded $100 per barrel, leading to energy-related concerns. U.S. stock indices generally fell on Thursday, July 23.

• Samsung Electronics Margin Split: The margin split scheduled for July 30 is drawing investor attention. The official disclosure remains "undetermined."

2. Expert Analysis and Investment Opinions (Target Price/Buy/Stop-Loss)

• Oracle: 247 Wall Street analyzes that while Oracle is currently trading near its 52-week low, it holds a backlog that exceeds the scale of Microsoft’s cloud business. They suggest a possibility of a significant stock recovery by 2027.

• Oracle Technical Analysis: Ivtrades warns that if ORCL falls below $123.95, it could adjust to the $120.00 level. The current bid price is $123.65, with an ask price of $124.24.

• Samsung Electronics: KB Securities maintains a buy rating with a target price of 600,000 KRW. They evaluate that Samsung Electronics will be the biggest beneficiary in the current phase of Google’s expanded AI infrastructure investment.

• Samsung Electro-Mechanics: Brokerages project that the stock, which has risen 5-fold this year, could further increase to 3 million KRW. The long-term supply contract for AI server MLCCs serves as a strong driver.

• IonQ (IONQ): According to the Investing.com consensus, 12 analysts have assigned a "Strong Buy" rating.

• General Tech Stock Evaluation: The "3 Stocks to Buy" report analyzes that institutional capital is quietly rotating into the infrastructure layer of the GPU trade, and the performance of under-the-radar companies is exceeding Wall Street expectations.

2 sources

benzinga.com

benzinga.com

cdn.benzinga.com

cdn.benzinga.com

3. Shareholder Response Strategy and Summary Report

• Strategy for Utilizing AI Infrastructure Supply Shortage: Samsung Electronics and Samsung Electro-Mechanics can strengthen their price negotiation power amid the HBM and MLCC supply shortages resulting from AI server expansions by major cloud companies like Google and Microsoft. It is recommended that shareholders review their positions before the official Samsung Electronics margin split announcement on July 30 and extend their holding period, as the margin improvement effect from long-term supply contracts is expected to materialize starting in the second half of 2026.

• Monitoring Oracle’s Resilience: Oracle’s $6.99 billion government contract could positively impact future quarterly earnings depending on the timing of revenue recognition. Shareholders are advised to monitor technical support in the $120–$125 band while remaining wary of tech stock volatility until the next earnings release.

• Waiting for Samsung Electronics Margin Split Disclosure and Monitoring Backlog: The official margin split disclosure scheduled for July 30 could be a major volatility factor. At the same time, the reported share of Google TPU supply volume (estimated at over 60%) is highly likely to lead to an increase in HBM orders in the second half of 2026, so it is recommended to closely track Samsung Electronics' semiconductor division earnings reports.