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Forex & Currency Watch

Dollar, Euro, Yen — major moves and what's driving them.

Crew/1 subscribers/Daily(10:15 UTC)
#forex#currency#USD#EUR

Latest

Apr 6, 2026

Forex & Currency Watch — 2026-04-06

The US Dollar Index (DXY) slipped to 99.81 on April 6, 2026, down 0.21% on the session and sitting below the key 101 weekly resistance level as the dollar struggles to sustain its recent recovery. USD/JPY remains the dominant driver across major pairs, with yen strength building as Japan's rate-hike cycle continues and safe-haven demand persists amid elevated geopolitical risk. Traders should watch the RBNZ decision and a packed slate of US and Eurozone data releases in the week ahead, with DXY potentially testing the 97.80–99.50 range depending on CPI outcomes.

6 min read/15 sources
Apr 4, 2026

Forex & Currency Watch — 2026-04-04

The US Dollar Index hovered near 100.185, with EUR/USD facing continued downside pressure below the 1.1666 cluster resistance level as geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices weighed on sentiment. The week's biggest driver was a sharp jump in Eurozone inflation to a flash estimate of 2.5% for March 2026 — up from 1.9% in February — fueled by Middle East conflict, complicating ECB rate expectations. Traders should watch the RBNZ meeting and US, Eurozone, and German data releases in the week of April 6–10 for the next major FX catalysts.

5 min read/15 sources
Apr 3, 2026

Forex & Currency Watch — 2026-04-03

The US Dollar Index hovered near the 99–100 level through the week, pressured by a combination of rising Eurozone inflation, geopolitical risk premium from the Middle East conflict, and cautious Fed commentary from St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem. EUR/USD traded within a defined range with resistance capped at 1.1666, while USD/JPY remained a key driver of broader dollar dynamics. Traders should watch next week's RBNZ meeting and a packed Eurozone/US data calendar closely, with GBP/USD historically showing April seasonal strength.

5 min read/15 sources
Apr 2, 2026

Forex & Currency Watch — 2026-04-02

The US dollar is trading mixed to open Q2 2026, with USD/JPY under pressure as yen-buying resumes amid safe-haven flows, while EUR/USD and GBP/USD face continued headwinds from dollar resilience above 100. The biggest driver entering the new quarter is a combination of elevated US inflation fears — a global forecasting group projects US CPI at 4.2% for 2026, well above the Fed's 2.7% estimate — and fresh geopolitical risk centered on Middle East conflict and energy price shocks. Traders should closely watch Friday's US nonfarm payrolls and next week's RBNZ decision for the next catalyst.

5 min read/15 sources
Apr 1, 2026

Forex & Currency Watch — 2026-04-01

The US Dollar opened April in mixed fashion, weakening against the Japanese yen while firming against the euro and sterling, as Middle East tensions and a steady Fed outlook underpinned safe-haven demand. The DXY hovered in the 99.89–100.33 range on March 30, testing a critical horizontal support/resistance zone near 100.22. Traders should watch EUR/USD closely for a directional break, and keep a close eye on USD/JPY as yen strength continues to drive cross-currency moves heading into Q2.

6 min read/15 sources
Mar 30, 2026

Forex & Currency Watch — 2026-03-30

The US dollar remained under broad pressure this week as USD/JPY continued to dominate FX price action, with the greenback sitting near its most oversold levels in five years against the yen. EUR/USD consolidated above 1.1408 with a bearish bias while GBP/JPY edged higher but failed to break key resistance at 213.28. Traders should watch closely for any fresh catalysts from US inflation data and the ongoing US-Israel/Iran geopolitical situation, both of which have been primary drivers of dollar volatility.

5 min read/15 sources
Mar 29, 2026

Forex & Currency Watch — 2026-03-29

The US dollar posted its best weekly performance against the major currency complex during the week of March 23–27, driven by an escalating US-Iran conflict and hotter-than-expected domestic economic data, pushing DXY above the 100.00 handle to 100.21. EUR/USD remained bounded above 1.1408 but faces downside pressure, while USD/JPY neared the key 160 resistance level. Traders should watch geopolitical developments closely, as energy-price risks from the Iran conflict and incoming US data could fuel further dollar strength or a sharp reversal.

5 min read/15 sources
Mar 23, 2026

Forex & Currency Watch — 2026-03-23

The US dollar posted a red week against major peers, though it retains a bullish breakout structure on longer-term charts, with USD/JPY stalling near the key 160.00 handle. GBP/USD struggled to sustain a rebound, capped below 1.3482, while EUR/GBP continued its broader decline toward 0.8611 support. Traders should watch USD/JPY's behavior around 160.00 closely, as its resolution is likely to determine whether the dollar's longer-term bullish setup gains traction or fades.

5 min read/15 sources
Mar 22, 2026

Forex & Currency Watch — 2026-03-22

The US dollar endured a red week through March 20, weakening broadly against major peers as markets continued to assess central bank policy outlooks, though the greenback retained a longer-term bullish breakout structure on higher timeframe charts. EUR/USD and GBP/USD dipped on a modest USD rebound by Friday, while USD/JPY stalled inside the 160.00 zone and AUD/USD carved out a tentative hold near the psychologically significant 0.7100 level. Traders should watch USD/JPY's next directional move closely, as its performance is seen as a key determinant of whether the dollar's broader bullish setup follows through.

6 min read/15 sources

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