Luxury Market Tracker — 2026-10-23
Hermès reported a 4.3% revenue increase in Q3 2026, marking a significant deceleration from its previous quarter's 6% growth, primarily due to challenging economic conditions in China and the Middle East. Consequently, European luxury giants, including Hermès and LVMH, are now trading at their lowest valuations in over a decade.
Luxury Market Tracker — 2026-10-23
Top Story
Hermès Q3 Deceleration Signals Prolonged Sector Slump
Hermès reported a 4.3% revenue increase for the third quarter of 2026, a notable slowdown from the 6% growth recorded in the previous quarter. While handbags and leather goods showed strong growth, the brand's overall sales missed forecasts due to a "challenging" economic backdrop in key markets like China and the Middle East. This deceleration has dashed investor hopes for an imminent end to the industry slump, contributing to a broader market trend where shares in Europe's biggest luxury firms are trading at their cheapest levels in more than a decade.

Market Movers
Kering — Q3 Sales Decline
- What happened: Kering reported a 1% decline in sales to €3.3 billion in Q3 2026, falling short of consensus expectations which projected a 0.4% increase. The group's largest brand, Gucci, experienced a 6% drop in revenue.
- Why it matters: Kering stated that sales were hit by a challenging luxury market, forcing the Parisian group to seek ways to reignite momentum across its brands.
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Berenberg — Downgrades Hermès
- What happened: Berenberg turned cautious on Hermès, citing the fading of its luxury growth advantage.
- Why it matters: This analyst shift highlights growing investor concerns that the sector's most resilient players are no longer immune to broader economic headwinds.
Stock & Financial Pulse
| Company | Notable Movement | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Hermès | Lowest valuations in a decade | Q3 revenue growth slowed to 4.3%, missing forecasts |
| LVMH | Lowest valuations in a decade | Dashed hopes for an end to the industry slump |
| Kering | Sales decline (-1%) | Q3 sales of €3.3 billion missed consensus expectations |
Consumer & Regional Trends
- China: Wealthy Chinese consumers are slashing spending on top luxury brands, with Hermès and Cartier reporting double-digit sales declines in mainland China. Shoppers are increasingly pivoting to pre-owned items, domestic brands, and experiences like travel.
- Industry Outlook: Despite the current slump, Goldman Sachs Research forecasts 7% revenue growth for luxury-goods companies in 2027, an increase from 6% in 2026.

What to Watch
- Goldman Sachs' 2027 Growth Forecast: Monitor whether the projected 7% revenue growth for luxury companies materializes, signaling a potential recovery.
- China's Second-Hand Market: Track the expansion of China's pre-owned luxury market and its impact on Western brand sales.
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