Humanoid Robots: Figure, Optimus, Unitree, 1X, Agility — 2026-10-26
Tesla has officially commenced production of its Optimus humanoid robot at the Fremont factory, targeting deliveries by late 2027 despite a 43% drop in quarterly profits. Meanwhile, Chinese manufacturer Unitree unveiled a new "self-evolving" AI system and its H2-X model to counter Tesla's ramp-up, while Japanese firm Kawasaki Heavy Industries detailed its "Physical AI" strategy to enter the humanoid sector by 2030.
Humanoid Robots: Figure, Optimus, Unitree, 1X, Agility — 2026-10-26
Top developments
Tesla Optimus Enters Production Amid Profit Dip
Tesla began producing its Optimus humanoid robot on a high-volume line in Fremont, California, this week. Despite the milestone, the company reported a 43% drop in net income for the quarter, with capital spending doubling to $4.7 billion. Elon Musk stated that customer deliveries are slated for the end of 2027, citing ongoing challenges with hand durability and AI generalization.

Unitree Unveils Self-Evolving AI and H2-X Model
Chinese robotics leader Unitree Robotics announced the development of an AI system that allows its humanoid robots to "self-improve," positioning it as a technological leap over current competitors. On October 21, the company also released demo videos of its new H2-X model, showcasing capabilities such as jumping over cars and blocking knives, aimed at security and rescue applications.

Kawasaki Heavy Industries Targets 2030 for Humanoid Utility
Japanese conglomerate Kawasaki Heavy Industries has accelerated its transformation into a robotics-centric firm, with CEO Yasuhiko Hashimoto emphasizing the need to speed up "Physical AI" development. The company’s new management plan allocates approximately ¥550 billion for growth investments through FY2030, aiming to commercialize domestically produced AI humanoids by that year.

HD Hyundai Robotics Debuts Dual-Arm AI Robot
South Korea’s HD Hyundai Robotics unveiled an intelligent dual-arm robot powered by its own foundational model at the FIX 2026 exhibition in Daegu on October 21. The robot is designed for automated parts preparation and assembly, recognizing its surroundings to adapt to industrial tasks, marking a significant step in Korean humanoid and semi-humanoid deployment.

Local view
China: IPO Cooling and Valuation Pressure Chinese media reports indicate a cooling trend in embodied intelligence IPOs. Following Unitree’s successful listing, other major players like Agibot (Zhiyuan) are slowing their Hong Kong listing plans as investors shift focus from prototype hype to actual revenue and commercial viability. Reports highlight that high valuations are becoming a burden when IPO timelines extend, with commercialization speed now the primary metric for investors.
Japan: Strategic Pivot to Physical AI Nikkei and Japanese tech outlets are closely watching Kawasaki Heavy Industries’ pivot from traditional heavy machinery to "AI Robotics." The narrative focuses on Japan’s attempt to reclaim a share in the global robotics market by leveraging its manufacturing base combined with new AI frameworks, rather than competing directly on low-cost hardware with Chinese firms.
Context & numbers
- Tesla Production Target: Elon Musk is targeting a production rate of 20,000 Optimus robots per week, though analysts question the feasibility of this timeline given current supply chain and AI bottlenecks.
- Tesla Financial Impact: The push for Optimus production contributed to a $4.7 billion quarterly capital expenditure, coinciding with a 43% net income drop for Tesla.
- Unitree Financials: Unitree’s 2025 revenue was reported at approximately ¥1.699 billion (RMB), with 5,215 humanoid units sold in that period. The company listed on the Shanghai STAR Market in August 2026.
- Kawasaki Investment: Kawasaki Heavy Industries has set a growth investment framework of approximately ¥550 billion for the four-year period from FY2027 to FY2030 to support its robotics and Physical AI initiatives.
On the radar
- Tesla Delivery Timeline: While production has started, official customer deliveries of Optimus are now firmly targeted for late 2027, with Musk citing specific hurdles in hand mechanics and AI reliability.
- Unitree H2-X Demos: Watch for further detailed specs and pricing for the newly demonstrated H2-X model, which positions itself in the high-performance security and rescue niche.
- Kawasaki Roadmap: Keep an eye on Kawasaki’s specific milestones leading up to the 2030 target for "domestic AI humanoid" utility, as they aim to differentiate from Chinese mass-market units with higher-end industrial integration.
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