Drinks Giants: Diageo, Pernod, AB InBev, Heineken — 2026-09-08
Pernod Ricard is pivoting its growth strategy toward India as Western markets falter, while Diageo faces a fresh strike ballot in Scotland amid ongoing restructuring. Meanwhile, European spirits exports to China have collapsed by 50% over two years, highlighting the severe trade headwinds facing the sector.
Drinks Giants: Diageo, Pernod, AB InBev, Heineken — 2026-09-08
Top developments
Pernod Ricard shifts focus to India amid Western slump
Pernod Ricard CEO Alexandre Ricard has confirmed that India has overtaken China as the company's second-largest market, with the group actively considering an IPO for its Indian operations to capitalize on local growth. This strategic pivot comes as organic sales fell 3.9% for the third consecutive year, driven by persistent weakness in the US and China. The move signals a broader industry realignment away from traditional Western and Chinese demand centers toward emerging markets like India.

EU spirits exports to China plunge 50% in two years
Total European spirits exports to China have fallen by 50% over the past two years, according to new data released this week. This sharp decline contributes to an overall 6% drop in value for European spirits exports last year, severely impacting major producers like Pernod Ricard and LVMH. The collapse in Chinese demand, combined with US market struggles, remains the primary drag on the sector's balance sheets.

Diageo faces strike ballot at Cameronbridge distillery
The Unite union has opened a strike ballot at Diageo’s Cameronbridge distillery in Scotland, adding labor unrest to the company’s operational challenges. This development occurs just weeks after Diageo reported a 2.0% decline in organic net sales for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2026, and announced a $1 billion cost-cutting plan. The potential industrial action could disrupt production of key brands if negotiations fail, further pressuring margins already squeezed by destocking in North America.
Local view
French financial media continues to analyze Pernod Ricard’s "austerity turn," with Investir noting that the group is prioritizing rigorous cash management over strategic ruptures due to delayed recovery in the US and China. Capital.fr describes the current stock valuation as a potential "golden opportunity" for investors despite the "century-long hangover" in share price performance, reflecting a mix of caution and contrarian interest among French analysts.
Context & numbers
- Pernod Ricard FY26: Organic sales down 3.9%; annual profit fell 26% to €1.2 billion, hit by US tariffs and weak Chinese demand.
- Diageo FY26: Organic net sales declined 2.0%; volume down 0.4% with unfavorable price/mix of 1.6%.
- Heineken H1 2026: Total volume increased 1.6%, with Heineken® brand volume up 5.3%. Consolidated volume grew 0.4%, while licensed volume rose 23.2%.
- Global Volumes: IWSR data confirms total beverage alcohol volumes fell 2% in 2025, marking the third consecutive annual decline. Spirits were the worst-performing category.
On the radar
- Varun Beverages Expansion: The Coca-Cola bottler has created a new spirits subsidiary in India, signaling increased competition in the emerging market that Pernod Ricard is now targeting.
- Diageo Cost Cutting: Watch for execution details on Diageo’s newly announced $1 billion cost-cutting plan, which analysts suggest may pressure competitors' pricing power.
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