M&A Deal Flow: Mega-Deals and Antitrust Reviews — 2026-09-27
This week's dealmaking headlines span a withdrawn $18bn casino takeover, an investor showdown over a $13bn Icahn-linked deal, and a potential take-private of Japan's Kobayashi Pharmaceutical. Cross-border and sponsor activity remains strong, with Platinum Equity completing a $6.6bn exit and Japan recording multi-billion-yen tender offers.
M&A Deal Flow: Mega-Deals and Antitrust Reviews — 2026-09-27
Top developments
MGM $18bn takeover offer withdrawn
An $18bn takeover offer for MGM has been withdrawn, sending shares down about 11% as the casino giant returns to a standalone strategy. The collapse removes one of the largest live mega-deal bets in the gaming sector and highlights how break-up risk is hitting target shareholders directly.

Carl Icahn faces new legal fight over $13 billion deal
Carl Icahn is facing a newly emerged legal dispute connected to a $13 billion deal, per TheStreet, which describes it as an "unexpected investor showdown" sparked by a major private equity transaction. Litigation risk around sponsor-led deals is becoming a recurring feature of large take-privates.

Kobayashi Pharmaceutical weighs going private after fund buyout proposal
Japan's Kobayashi Pharmaceutical received a tender offer (TOB) buyout proposal from a Japan-UK fund consortium, according to Sankei and Bloomberg (September 24, 2026; Bloomberg flags shares were bought with indications ahead of the announcement, not confirmed terms). A take-private would mark a prominent post-crisis restructuring of a Japanese consumer healthcare name.

Platinum Equity completes $6.6bn Urbaser sale to Blackstone and EQT
Platinum Equity completed its $6.6bn sale of Madrid-headquartered environmental infrastructure group Urbaser to Blackstone Infrastructure and EQT Infrastructure, five years after buying the business for $4.2bn — roughly a doubling of valuation over the hold. The deal is a major sponsor exit and a fresh vote of confidence in infrastructure-led M&A.
Hikocom (Hikari Tsushin) to acquire Leopalace 21 via tender offer worth up to ¥267.6bn
Hikari Tsushin, together with two investment funds, announced on September 14 a tender offer to take over Japanese rental housing major Leopalace 21, with a total acquisition value of up to ¥267.6bn (about ¥270bn). The deal is one of Japan's largest live TOBs and underscores continued富士domestic consolidations of listed real-estate-adjacent names.

Local view
Japanese business press is dominated by take-private momentum: Nikkei and Sankei both lead with fund-driven TOB proposals — Kobayashi Pharmaceutical's potential privatization, framed as part of rebuilding governance after the red rice koji supplement health-harm problem, and Hikari Tsushin's ¥270bn Leopalace 21 takeover.
In private equity circles, Private Equity International reports Carlyle is leaning into carve-outs as dealmaking gets more competitive, with industrials, defence and healthcare sectors standing to benefit — reflecting sponsor positioning in a tighter deal environment.

Context & numbers
- Q1 2026 global M&A volumes reached $861.1 billion, the strongest start since 2021 and +9.7% year over year, with a "K-shaped" market in which large transformational deals lead.
- Goldman Sachs holds the #1 US M&A league table slot ($58.3B by LSEG-based counts) for what CT Acquisitions tallies as its 23rd year, with Evercore's FY25 fees of $3.88bn up 29% year-over-year.
- Foley & Lardner describes private equity's "$285 billion shock year," noting real openings for sponsors despite weak exits.
On the radar
- Blackstone shelved a roughly $3bn collateralized fund obligation tied to ageing PE fund stakes — a signal to watch on liquidity for older buyout books.
- Erste Group is planning a tender offer to acquire up to 26% of Erste Bank Polska via its subsidiary, per Investing.com (September 26, 2026).
- Kobayashi Pharmaceutical's board response to the consortium TOB proposal remains unconfirmed — a resolution on whether to adopt the offer is the key Japanese-market event this quarter.
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