Gold, Silver and Safe-Haven Saving at Home — 2026-09-27

Top developments

Gold bounces back from four-day slide

Gold recovered this week after four straight days of losses, trading on COMEX and pushing Indian MCX prices above ₹1,50,000 per 10 grams on 25 September. A firmer dollar and higher real yields had dragged metals down through Thursday, before safe-haven flows resumed. For households buying coins or bars, the bounce means the pullback window may have been brief.

Silver holds near $64 as oil eases

Silver (XAG/USD) inched higher after two days of losses, trading around $63.90/oz during Asian hours on Friday, 25 September, finding support as inflation worries eased with a crude oil pullback. Silver remains historically elevated, keeping premiums on physical retail products a key thing to watch.

Indian retail gold sales slump before festive season

Moneycontrol Hindi reports a significant drop in India's retail gold sales just ahead of the festive season, with gold up about 60% over the past year and IBJA data cited for the decline. High prices are pushing festival buyers toward lighter or smaller purchases. For coin and bar sellers, this signals price-sensitivity at the retail level despite strong futures prices.

US Mint availability tightens sharply

CoinNews reports that 50 of 75 US Mint products are currently unavailable, including 37 of 38 circulating-quality roll and bag options — a sign of constrained supply that can push collectors toward aftermarket premiums. Separately, 2026-P Enduring Liberty 9/11 privy half dollars led Mint sales with 2.89 million units and roughly $3.72 million in orders as of 23 September.

Goldman reaffirms $4,900 gold on hidden central-bank demand

Goldman Sachs Research reiterated a $4,900/oz year-end 2026 target this week, arguing central-bank purchases — especially from China — may be substantially larger than officially disclosed. Bullion retailer commentary this week also flagged rising yields, strong China demand, and falling eligible COMEX gold inventories as the key drivers for gold and silver into October.

Local view

• Hindi press on festive buying: Mint notes Mumbai 24-carat gold at ₹1,51,510/10g on 26 September, comparing city-by-city rates for pre-festival buyers deciding where to buy cheaply.
• Dainik Bhaskar reports silver jumped ₹1,070 to ₹2.29 lakh/kg and gold ₹359 higher, with a forecast gold could reach ₹1.80 lakh by year-end per IBJA-linked commentary.
• Naidunia cautions metals could weaken during Pitru Paksha, an inauspicious period for purchases in Indian tradition, pressuring bullion market turnover.
• Chinese consumer media: What's Worth Buying (什么值得买) highlights how record prices cost jewellery buyers ¥300–400/gram in hidden losses, citing research that 2026 global jewellery consumption may fall over a third from 2023 — with bars and coins potentially overtaking jewellery as gold's largest demand component.

Context & numbers

• Silver: ~$63.90/oz on Friday 25 September, after a two-day dip.
• India: MCX gold above ₹1,50,000/10g on 25 September; Mumbai 24K at ₹1,51,510 on 26 September; silver ₹2.29 lakh/kg.
• ETF context: global gold ETFs added $18bn in August (second-largest monthly inflow on record), lifting holdings to a record 4,189t per the World Gold Council's September-published report.
• Technicals: analysts peg $3,435 gold and $60 silver as make-or-break Q4 levels.

On the radar

• Pitru Paksha window in India: local traditional buying is muted until the window closes, with Navratri festive demand expected to pick up afterward.
• COMEX eligible inventory drawdowns and continued China demand — watch for delivery stress signals.
• Goldman's $4,900 year-end call vs. the $3,435 technical floor — a wide range that will frame October positioning.
• US Mint restocks: with 50 of 75 products unavailable, renewed availability (or continued scarcity and rising premiums) is worth monitoring.