Vietnam Robusta Coffee and Dak Lak Harvest — 2026-10-22
Vietnam's robusta coffee sector faces a complex landscape as domestic farmgate prices fluctuate between 92,300 and 93,500 VND/kg, while export volumes remain high but face value pressure. The impending EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) deadline of December 2026 is driving urgent traceability compliance efforts among Vietnamese exporters, even as structural shifts toward durian cultivation continue to impact long-term robusta supply in the Central Highlands.
Vietnam Robusta Coffee and Dak Lak Harvest — 2026-10-22
Top developments
Domestic farmgate prices fluctuate near 93,000 VND/kg Farmgate prices in the Central Highlands, including Dak Lak, have shown volatility this week. On October 20, prices rose by 200 VND/kg to reach 92,300–93,200 VND/kg, driven by global market strength. However, reports from October 15 and October 21 indicate downward pressure, with prices dipping to the 92,300–93,000 VND/kg range as traders weigh global supply concerns against local harvest progress.
Global robusta prices surge before correcting International robusta prices on the London exchange briefly exceeded $3,480 per ton in late October, boosting domestic sentiment. By October 22, however, robusta prices were reported to be declining consecutively, reflecting a market correction as Brazilian supply increases and weather concerns in Vietnam ease slightly.
Export volumes rise despite value pressure Vietnam exported 122,700 tonnes of coffee in September 2026, a 51.3% volume increase year-on-year, valued at USD 554.6 million. For the first nine months of 2026, total exports reached 1.4 million tonnes worth $6.54 billion; while volume grew by 15.4%, the total value dropped 7.3% due to a 19.7% decline in average export prices to $4,537.3 per tonne.
Local view
Local media outlets like Bao Gia Lai and The World and Vietnam (baoquocte.vn) are closely monitoring the "red floor" in pork prices alongside coffee fluctuations, noting that while coffee prices remain relatively stable at peak levels, the broader agricultural sector is experiencing mixed signals. Stakeholders are also focused on the "survival race" of local industries, with coffee traders debating whether domestic prices can reclaim the 95,000 VND/kg mark by year-end.
Context & numbers
The structural shift in Dak Lak and the Central Highlands continues to impact supply. USDA reports highlight that farmers are converting coffee land to durian, which offers profits 2.5 to 3 times higher per unit, a trend that reduces robusta acreage. Meanwhile, irrigation stress remains a critical factor, with droughts and erratic rainfall in the region threatening the average yield of 2.3 tons of green beans per hectare.
On the radar
EUDR Compliance Deadline (Dec 2026) The EU Deforestation Regulation takes full effect for large and medium operators on December 30, 2026. Vietnamese exporters are accelerating traceability certifications, but a recent IISD report warns that smallholders still face significant financial and technical barriers to compliance.
Durian Standardization in Dak Lak Dak Lak province has launched a 30-day campaign to standardize durian cultivation under VietGAP standards, aiming to boost export quality and traceability. This initiative reflects the province's dual focus on maintaining coffee yields while scaling up high-value fruit exports.
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