Vietnam Robusta Coffee and Dak Lak Harvest — 2026-10-08
Vietnam’s robusta prices rebounded in early October, with domestic farmgate rates in the Central Highlands rising to VND 94,000/kg amid a global robusta rally above $3,500/ton. However, export revenues for the first nine months of 2026 dropped 7.3% year-on-year due to a significant decline in average unit prices, highlighting a divergence between volume growth and value realization.
Vietnam Robusta Coffee and Dak Lak Harvest — 2026-10-08
Top developments
Domestic Robusta Prices Surge to VND 94,000/kg
On October 4, 2026, domestic coffee prices in key Central Highlands provinces including Dak Lak, Gia Lai, and Dak Nông rose to a peak of VND 94,000/kg (approx. $3.75/kg). This increase followed a period of stability around VND 93,000–93,800/kg earlier in the week, driven by positive movements in international markets where London Robusta futures broke the $3,500/ton threshold. For Dak Lak farmers, this price recovery offers a temporary buffer against rising input costs, though volatility remains high as new crop expectations loom.
Export Volumes Rise but Value Declines in 2026
According to data released by the Vietnam Customs and reported by VietnamPlus on October 6, 2026, Vietnam exported approximately 1.4 million tonnes of coffee worth USD 6.54 billion in the first nine months of 2026. While volume increased by 15.4% year-on-year, the total export value fell by 7.3% compared to the same period in 2025. The average export price dropped significantly by 19.7% to USD 4,537.3 per tonne, indicating that despite higher shipment volumes, the revenue per ton has decreased, impacting farmer income margins in the Central Highlands.
EUDR Compliance Pressures Smallholders Ahead of December Deadline
As the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) implementation date approaches on December 30, 2026, Vietnamese exporters are accelerating traceability efforts. A report highlighted by Daily Coffee News on October 7, 2026, notes that smallholders still face significant financial and technical barriers to compliance. For the Dak Lak harvest, which is largely composed of small-scale farms, this creates an urgent need for cooperative-led verification systems to maintain access to the EU market, which remains a critical destination for Vietnamese robusta.
Local view
Local Vietnamese media outlets such as Thuong Gia Online and Bao Lao Cai have reported a "positive trend" in domestic prices, noting that the rebound is supported by both domestic inventory absorption and international futures gains. Nong Nghiep Moi Truong (Agriculture & Environment Newspaper) highlighted on October 6 that the domestic market is showing "active developments" with prices rising slightly in sync with global robusta gains. However, local analysts warn that the "new crop" season beginning later in Q4 may introduce uncertainty, as early reports suggest potential yield variations in the Central Highlands.
Context & numbers
- Domestic Farmgate Price (Dak Lak): VND 94,000/kg (Oct 4, 2026), up from VND 93,000/kg at the start of October.
- International Benchmark: London Robusta futures traded above USD 3,500/ton in early October 2026.
- Export Volume (Jan-Sep 2026): 1.4 million tonnes (+15.4% YoY).
- Export Value (Jan-Sep 2026): USD 6.54 billion (-7.3% YoY).
- Average Export Price: USD 4,537.3/tonne (-19.7% YoY).
On the radar
- EUDR Deadline: Large and medium operators must comply with the EU Deforestation Regulation by December 30, 2026.
- New Crop Season: The 2026-2027 harvest cycle is approaching, with early indicators suggesting difficult-to-predict pricing due to mixed global supply signals.
- US Court Review: A US court is reviewing the legality of taxes against forced labor, which could impact sourcing requirements for Vietnamese coffee exporters targeting the US market.
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