Dubai and Gulf Property: Off-Plan and Golden Visas — 2026-09-06
Dubai’s real estate market recorded a 37% month-on-month decline in transaction volume for August, signaling a shift toward a more selective buyer environment despite historically high cumulative sales. Meanwhile, DAMAC Properties announced the handover of over 50,000 homes and significant new construction awards, while Saudi Arabia continues to refine its foreign ownership regulations to attract international capital.
Dubai and Gulf Property: Off-Plan and Golden Visas — 2026-09-06
Top developments
Dubai August transactions down 37% but prime off-plan remains resilient
Data released on September 4 indicates that Dubai’s property deals in August fell by 37% compared to the previous month, reflecting a seasonal slowdown and a more cautious approach from buyers. However, analysis of Dubai Land Department (DLD) data by Betterhomes reveals that ultra-luxury off-plan sales actually increased by 12%, suggesting that high-net-worth individuals continue to view prime inventory as a safe haven. This divergence highlights a bifurcated market where mass-market segments cool off while luxury assets maintain momentum.

DAMAC hands over 50,000 homes with $2.72bn in new construction awards
DAMAC Properties announced on September 4 that it has surpassed the milestone of handing over 50,000 residential units across its projects, including DAMAC Lagoons and DAMAC Hills. The developer also revealed that it awarded $2.72 billion worth of construction contracts in the first half of 2026 to support a pipeline of over 55,000 units. This aggressive delivery schedule is critical for maintaining investor confidence in off-plan purchases, as it demonstrates the developer's capacity to meet contractual obligations amidst rising supply.

Weekly DLD transactions hit AED 9.8 billion
The Dubai Land Department reported AED 9.8 billion in real estate transactions during the week ending September 5, resulting from 3,374 deals. This weekly figure underscores the continued liquidity in the market despite the monthly volume dip, driven largely by secondary market activity and ongoing off-plan registrations. The sustained weekly turnover suggests that while the pace may have normalized from the frenetic highs of early 2026, the underlying demand remains robust.
Saudi Arabia’s foreign ownership rules drive Riyadh growth
Saudi Arabia’s real estate market remained resilient in July 2026, with Riyadh leading growth in both residential and commercial sectors. The implementation of new regulations allowing foreign ownership has begun to impact market dynamics, attracting international investors to key districts. While specific August data for Saudi is less granular in recent reports, the trend indicates that the opening of the market is supporting property values in the capital, even as the Kingdom balances oversupply concerns in other regions through Vision 2030 infrastructure projects.
Local view
Local Arabic media outlets are closely monitoring the shift in buyer sentiment. Al Bayan highlighted the AED 9.8 billion weekly transaction volume, emphasizing the continued trust investors place in Dubai’s regulatory framework despite global economic uncertainties. Meanwhile, Voice of Emirates reported on the cumulative strength of the market, noting that transactions reached AED 523.44 billion in the first eight months of 2026, reinforcing the narrative that Dubai remains a top-tier global investment hub. The local press generally frames the August dip not as a crash, but as a natural correction towards a more sustainable, quality-focused market.
Context & numbers
- Cumulative Sales: Dubai recorded AED 523.44 billion in property transactions in the first eight months of 2026.
- Off-Plan Dominance: In August 2026, off-plan properties accounted for 74.2% of total home sales, indicating strong reliance on future delivery inventory.
- August Volume: There were 11,147 home sales registered in August 2026.
- Golden Visa Threshold: The AED 2 million property value threshold remains the primary gateway for the 10-year Golden Visa, though its role as the sole "draw" is evolving into a value-added perk as market prices rise.
On the radar
- Cityscape Global Signals: Upcoming reports from Cityscape Global are expected to provide further insight into where "smart capital" is moving within the off-plan sector, particularly regarding villa vs. apartment preferences.
- Supply Pipeline Monitoring: Analysts are watching the impact of the 32,000+ units expected to be handed over in H2 2026, with some warnings about potential oversupply in specific mid-market segments.
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