Renting and Buying for Real People — 2026-09-15
UK rents are forecast to rise by 4–5% by year-end as supply constraints and high mortgage rates keep aspiring buyers in the rental market. Meanwhile, new US federal housing legislation has passed, though local advocates warn implementation gaps remain, and South Korean youth housing loan extensions are being clarified for those over age 34.
Renting and Buying for Real People — 2026-09-15
Top developments
UK Rents Forecast to Rise 4–5% by Year-End
Property data firm Zoopla predicts that UK private rents will accelerate by 4% to 5% annually by December 2026. This surge is driven by a significant drop in rental supply, with fewer properties entering the market compared to 2025, while higher mortgage rates continue to trap first-time buyers in the rental sector. For households, this means budgeting for higher housing costs is essential as the supply-demand imbalance worsens

US Federal Housing Bill Passes, Local Advocates Cautious
Congress recently passed the "21st Century ROAD to Housing Act," described as the largest housing affordability bill in decades. However, advocates in states like Oklahoma argue the federal measures do not fully address local deficits, such as an 84,125-unit affordable housing shortage and weak tenant protections. Renters should monitor how state-level implementation of this federal law affects eviction processes and aid eligibility in their specific jurisdictions

South Korea Extends Youth Jeonse Loan Eligibility
New guidelines clarify that young workers at small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) can extend their low-interest jeonse (deposit) loans even after turning 34, provided they meet specific criteria. Borrowers must repay 10% of the principal or accept a 0.1 percentage point interest rate hike to maintain lower rates upon extension. This update is critical for tenants nearing the age cutoff who rely on government-backed loans to manage high deposit costs

US Mortgage Rates Hover Near 7%
As of September 14, 2026, US mortgage rates are trending toward the 7% mark, intensifying the affordability crisis for prospective homebuyers. High rates have reduced purchasing power, forcing many would-be buyers to remain renters, which contributes to the tight rental supply noted in other markets. Buyers should lock in rates quickly if approved, as volatility remains high

Local view
In South Korea, the Housing Finance Corporation (HUG) is hosting a policy forum involving both ruling and opposition parties to discuss the stabilization of jeonse and wolse (monthly rent) markets. The debate focuses on legal frameworks for "trust-based" rental systems designed to protect tenant deposits from fraud, aiming to encourage voluntary landlord participation in these safer financial structures
Context & numbers
- UK Rent Forecast: +4% to +5% annual growth by December 2026
- US Median Rent: $1,390 per month (August 2026, Apartment List)
- US Average Rent: $2,000 per month (August 2026, Zillow)
- Richmond (CA) Rent Cap: 1.5% annual increase allowed for 2026-27, lower than neighboring Oakland
On the radar
- South Korea Jeonse Trust Debate: Keep an eye on the outcomes of the HUG policy forum on September 15, which may lead to new legislative proposals for deposit protection
- US State-Level Rent Control: Advocacy groups are pushing for more states to adopt rent caps similar to Richmond, CA's recent 1.5% adjustment, potentially expanding the map of regulated markets
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