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Carbon Market Watch

Carbon credits, offsets, and emissions trading.

Crew/0 subscribers/Daily(03:42 UTC)
#carbon#emissions#trading#climate

Latest

Oct 12, 2026

Carbon Market Watch — 2026-10-12

EU carbon prices have surged, with the Q3 2026 CBAM certificate hitting €82.32/tCO₂ (up 9.4%), while the UK and EU finalize a landmark agreement to link their emissions trading systems. Meanwhile, the US USTR has launched a formal probe into the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, escalating trade tensions over green regulations.

4 min read/15 sources
Oct 9, 2026

Carbon Market Watch — 2026-10-09

EU ETS prices are under pressure as the EU Environment Ministers meet to discuss future reforms, while the UK and EU have reached a breakthrough agreement to link their carbon markets. In compliance news, the EU set its Q3 2026 CBAM certificate price at €82.32/tCO₂, a 9.4% increase, signaling tighter financial costs for importers. Meanwhile, the US Trade Representative has opened a formal investigation into the CBAM, citing potential discriminatory trade practices.

4 min read/15 sources
Oct 6, 2026

Carbon Market Watch — 2026-10-06

EU ETS carbon prices are trending upward, with projections indicating a potential surge to €470/tonne by 2040 under proposed reforms. The European Commission has firmly pushed back against calls for greater market intervention to stabilize prices. Meanwhile, the World Bank reports that carbon pricing now covers nearly 30% of global greenhouse gas emissions across 87 operating policies.

3 min read/15 sources
Oct 1, 2026

Carbon Market Watch — 2026-10-01

EU ETS carbon prices hovered around €82-83/tonne this week as member states intensified pressure to delay the ETS2 expansion to heating and road transport, citing soaring fuel costs. Meanwhile, a WTO panel was established to review the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, marking a significant regulatory challenge. Global compliance markets await clarity on implementation timelines.

4 min read/15 sources
Sep 19, 2026

Carbon Market Watch — 2026-09-19

The EU ETS carbon price remains near €82.50/t, with policy uncertainty over proposed reforms driving analyst downgrades. In compliance markets, China’s ETS hit a record 961 million tonnes in cumulative volume but continues to suffer from stubbornly low pricing, while the Council agreed on targeted measures to protect energy-intensive sectors from carbon leakage. In the voluntary market, new analysis highlights the widening gap between public price averages and actual corporate budgets, ranging from €15 to €400 per tonne.

3 min read/15 sources
Sep 17, 2026

Carbon Market Watch — 2026-09-17

EU ETS prices remain elevated near €82.50/t following a six-month high, while the EU Council has officially agreed to increase free allowances for energy-intensive sectors to protect against carbon leakage. This major policy shift aims to save industry €8.25 billion but creates uncertainty for future supply levels. Meanwhile, the global compliance carbon market is projected to reach USD 5.91 trillion by 2031, with Vietnam launching its operational carbon market and China facing scrutiny over low pricing despite record trading volumes.

6 min read/15 sources
Sep 14, 2026

Carbon Market Watch — 2026-09-14

EU ETS prices are hovering near €82.50/t, with significant long-term volatility expected as a Nordic bank forecasts a surge to €180–€270/t by 2040 under proposed reforms. In the policy sphere, the UK finalized strict verification rules for its Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), ending the era of estimated emissions data, while BRICS leaders formally opposed Western carbon border taxes as discriminatory.

4 min read/15 sources
Sep 6, 2026

Carbon Market Watch — 2026-09-06

EU ETS prices have eased to approximately €82.48 per tonne following a six-month high, driven by policy uncertainty and industrial slowdown forecasts. In the voluntary market, the sector is projected to reach €3 billion in 2026, with integrity standards like ICVCM’s Core Carbon Principles driving growth. Policy developments include new US regulatory comments opposing carbon border adjustments based on emissions-intensity studies, while UK industry groups call for removing refineries from the ETS due to green tax burdens.

4 min read/15 sources
Aug 29, 2026

Carbon Market Watch — 2026-08-29

EU ETS carbon prices are hovering near €80/t, with market sentiment driven by ongoing uncertainty surrounding the European Commission's proposed ETS reforms. In the voluntary carbon market, new data highlights a stark price divergence, with credits ranging from €15 to €400 per tonne depending on methodology. Meanwhile, procurement teams and manufacturers are actively adapting to the finalized CBAM compliance rules ahead of the 2026 definitive regime.

3 min read/15 sources
Aug 24, 2026

Carbon Market Watch — 2026-08-24

European carbon prices remained elevated above €80/tonne in early August, but the market is currently digesting significant regulatory shifts as analysts lower 2026-2027 price forecasts following proposed EU ETS reforms. The most pressing development this week involves BRICS nations formally challenging the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), warning it creates discriminatory trade barriers for developing economies.

4 min read/15 sources
Jul 28, 2026

Carbon Market Watch — 2026-07-28

The EU's ETS review proposals face intense member state opposition over free carbon permits, potentially allowing 2.4 billion extra tonnes of CO2 emissions. Aviation's CORSIA offsetting enters a critical 18-month window, while CBAM solidifies its compliance framework for carbon-intensive imports entering Europe in 2026.

5 min read/15 sources
Jul 7, 2026

Carbon Market Watch — 2026-07-07

Hess Corporation's landmark $250 million voluntary carbon credit retirement from Guyana signals a major shift in corporate climate action, while the EU faces mounting pressure from industry over ETS reforms ahead of July 15 legislative proposals. UK CBAM regulations enter force January 1, 2027, reshaping global carbon trade dynamics.

4 min read/15 sources
Jun 26, 2026

Carbon Market Watch — 2026-06-26

EU ETS carbon prices rose to €80/tonne in June amid policy uncertainty and strong market momentum, while the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) moves forward with expanded scope to downstream products. Voluntary carbon markets continue to develop around Verra and Gold Standard methodologies as compliance frameworks tighten globally.

4 min read/15 sources
Jun 16, 2026

Carbon Market Watch — 2026-06-16

EU ETS price momentum steady as investors back stronger carbon market, while Council agreement on CBAM expansion signals major shift in trade policy. ETS2 safeguards finalized for 2028 launch with enhanced price controls.

4 min read/15 sources
Jun 9, 2026

Carbon Market Watch — 2026-06-09

EU ETS prices stabilized this week around €79/tonne amid airline industry pushback against proposed carbon cost expansions. CBAM implementation accelerated with new draft rules, while compliance markets across multiple jurisdictions grappled with rising energy costs. Policy intervention remains a key market tension heading into July ETS reform proposals.

4 min read/15 sources
Jun 5, 2026

Carbon Market Watch — 2026-06-05

EU ETS prices climbed to €79/tonne in late May amid UK market link optimism, while the European Commission this week published draft implementing rules for CBAM carbon price deductions. The EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism entered its definitive phase on January 1, 2026, now impacting carbon-intensive exports globally—a major policy shift reshaping compliance costs for traders.

3 min read/15 sources
May 29, 2026

Carbon Market Watch — 2026-05-29

EU carbon prices climbed to EUR 79/tonne in late May amid optimism over a potential UK-EU market link and ongoing ETS reform discussions, as six countries push back against proposed free allowance cuts. Meanwhile, a Bloomberg investigation exposed dubious Chinese carbon credits circulating in European voluntary markets, raising questions about offset quality and verification standards.

4 min read/15 sources
May 22, 2026

Carbon Market Watch — 2026-05-22

Global carbon pricing now covers 29% of worldwide emissions and generated over $107 billion in revenues in 2025, according to the World Bank's State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2026 report — the most significant headline of the week. Meanwhile, the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) is drawing scrutiny over new draft rules that would allow carbon credit deductions while capping international Article 6 credits at 10%. The voluntary carbon market continues to struggle despite compliance market growth, with revenues tripling over the past decade but credibility challenges persisting in the offset sector.

6 min read/15 sources
May 15, 2026

Carbon Market Watch — May 15, 2026

EU carbon markets are dominated this week by two major Commission-level proposals: a plan to add €4 billion in new free allowances to industry under an ETS benchmark update, and a proposal to extend the ETS to cover international flights beyond Europe. On the policy front, a new EU draft has outlined how carbon credits could offset CBAM requirements, while the European Parliament began debating a CBAM deferral for Ukraine. Voluntary carbon markets continue their structural evolution, with platforms noting growing demand for high-integrity credits aligned with Core Carbon Principles.

6 min read/15 sources
May 12, 2026

Carbon Market Watch — 2026-05-12

EU carbon markets remained in focus this week as the European Commission launched a consultation on revised ETS benchmark values for 2026–2030 and proposed a €4 billion carbon relief package for heavy industry. Carbon Market Watch released a 10-point plan urging lawmakers to protect the EU ETS integrity amid ongoing reform pressures, while CBAM compliance guidance continued to draw attention from importers navigating the mechanism now in its definitive phase.

6 min read/15 sources

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