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Major Middle East escalations dominate this week's news as Israel ramps up airstrikes in Lebanon and Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz. Locally, the rupiah has weakened past Rp17,000 against the USD amid global geopolitical pressure, while the World Bank has lowered its economic growth forecast for Indonesia.
The Rupiah has plunged to a historic low of 17,000 per US dollar, putting massive pressure on the government’s budget as it struggles to keep fuel prices stable amidst the ongoing Iran-US-Israel conflict. The stock market is kicking off Q2 2026 with mixed signals, while the mutual fund industry shows growth despite the rising volatility.
It’s a challenging weekend for the administration: they’re dealing with the fallout from an attack on peacekeepers in Lebanon, trying to keep the budget deficit under that critical 3% threshold despite soaring energy prices, and navigating a jittery stock market. With Middle East tensions driving global uncertainty, the government is scrambling to maintain fiscal stability while managing a tight budget.
The conflict enters its fifth week with a major escalation: two US military aircraft have been shot down, Iran is targeting Gulf oil infrastructure, and a 40-nation coalition led by the UK is threatening action over the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, a 7.4 magnitude earthquake struck the North Maluku Sea, and inflation for March dropped to 3.5%, hitting Bank Indonesia's target range.
Indonesia has completed its stock market reforms just in time for the upcoming May MSCI index review, a major win as investor pressure mounts. Meanwhile, the U.S.-Iran war has hit its fifth week, with Trump threatening to bomb Iran "back to the Stone Age" while the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked, sending oil prices soaring. On the bright side, Indonesia is strengthening energy ties and signing an AI MoU with South Korea.
A massive 7.4-magnitude earthquake hit near Ternate, triggering tsunami warnings across Indonesia, the Philippines, and Malaysia. Meanwhile, Indonesia is reeling from an 18.49% drop in the IHSG for Q1 2026, the death of three Indonesian UN peacekeepers in Southern Lebanon, and ongoing pressure from the US-Israel vs. Iran conflict.
Indonesia’s economy hit a rough patch as Q1 closes: the rupiah slid to Rp17,002 per USD, the IHSG dipped below the 7,000 mark, and global market anxiety continues to simmer due to the Iran-US conflict. Meanwhile, President Prabowo is busy building diplomatic bridges with Japan to shore up energy security. Back home, local media is calling on the government to get serious about cracking down on high-level corruption.
Indonesia is facing a double whammy to start the week as the IHSG slips below the 7,000 mark and the rupiah weakens toward Rp 17,000 per dollar, all amid the second month of the US-Israel vs. Iran conflict. Meanwhile, thousands of residents in Pasuruan are protesting the conversion of the Tretes forest into a real estate project, highlighting the growing tension between business interests and environmental protection.
Indonesia is back to the grind this Monday, March 30, 2026, after the Lebaran holiday, though global and economic pressures are mounting. President Prabowo Subianto is in Seoul for a high-stakes summit with South Korean President Lee Jae-myung, while the US-Iran conflict continues to rattle global markets and the rupiah. Despite solid domestic economic data, the underlying foundations remain fragile amid significant geopolitical volatility.
Indonesia is feeling the heat as global geopolitical tensions—now in their 29th day of the Iran-US-Israel conflict—coincide with domestic economic challenges, including a potential Fitch rating downgrade and market volatility. While the government insists the economy remains stable, analysts are questioning whether our long-term growth foundation is really as solid as it seems.
While today’s news cycle is relatively quiet, there are still some key updates worth catching up on. We’re looking at the latest squad adjustments for the Indonesian National Team at the FIFA Series 2026, a jump in Antam gold prices, and the ongoing diplomatic friction between Iran and the U.S. Here is everything you need to know from verified sources.
Cash circulation hit a six-year record of Rp1,370 trillion post-Lebaran, while geopolitical tensions rise as Iran rejects a U.S. peace proposal. Meanwhile, Antam gold prices hold steady at Rp2.85 million per gram.
Today’s big stories include a 15-point ceasefire proposal from the U.S. to Iran, while back home, the IHSG bounced back past the 7,200 mark after the long holiday. Meanwhile, the government is drafting new economic stimulus and energy policies to navigate the shifting global geopolitical landscape.
Indonesia is in the thick of the Eid homecoming rush as authorities implement a nationwide one-way toll system to manage traffic back to Jakarta. Meanwhile, the Jakarta Stock Exchange (IDX) is back in action today, and global markets are on edge as Iranian missiles have reportedly breached Israeli air defenses, signaling a major escalation in the Middle East.
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