오늘의 증시 전략: 관심 종목 대응 가이드 — 2026-09-26

오늘의 시장 스냅샷

As of Saturday, September 26, 2026, the domestic stock market is closed for the Chuseok holiday. The figures below are based on the previous trading day (Sept 23) and the most recent available data.

• KOSPI: On the final trading day before the holiday (Sept 23), the index gave up most of its early intraday gains to finish up +0.9%, as investors shifted to a wait-and-see stance ahead of the closure.
• Supply and Demand: Institutions net-bought 4.71 trillion won over six trading sessions leading up to Chuseok, led by purchases in Samsung Electronics and SK hynix.
• KOSDAQ: Detailed closing figures for the pre-holiday session are not available with fresh data.

1 sources

koreatimes.co.kr

koreatimes.co.kr

글로벌 배경 — 간밤 미국 시장 (9/25 금요일)

• S&P 500 closed at 7,742.09 (+37.96pt, +0.49%) / Nasdaq at 27,064.88 (+125.51pt, +0.47%) / Dow at 51,819.05 (+469.07pt, +0.91%), securing weekly gains.
• Surging US Treasury yields were a major driver this week: Despite spiking bond yields, stock indices brushed them off to deliver weekly gains for shareholders.
• Oil prices fell amid hopes for negotiations in the Middle East (Strait of Hormuz), helping absorb some of the sharp yield spikes.
• Concerns over oil-driven inflation and potential US rate hikes persist, serving as ongoing influencing factors when local markets reopen.

주도 섹터 & 테마

Due to the holiday closure, domestic sector fluctuation data is limited within fresh available ranges. However, based on pre-holiday and global factors:

Semiconductors (Samsung Electronics & SK hynix)

• Movement: Core stocks driven by the 4.7 trillion won in institutional net buying.
• Check Points: Institutions supplied liquidity into Samsung Electronics and SK hynix. It will be crucial to check supply and demand dynamics upon reopening, reflecting US AI and memory trends, exchange rates, and US bond yield spikes.

Oil & Inflation Themes

• Movement: Simultaneous rises in US bond yields and oil prices were the primary factors. On Thursday, September 24, oil prices pulled back on hopes for Strait of Hormuz negotiations, causing indicators to fluctuate frequently.
• Check Points: Watch whether oil price rallies will exert renewed pressure on the stock market.

Safe-Haven Preferences (US Short-Term Treasury ETFs)

• Movement: Amid a range-bound KOSPI, Korean investors poured $241.86 million into ultra-short-term US Treasury ETFs (SGOV), making it the top overseas net-buy in September.
• Check Points: Strong risk-averse sentiment among mainstream investors is flowing in steadily — this directional preference may carry over after the market reopens.

관심 종목 대응 가이드

This guide is a reference watchlist based on publicly available news and disclosure data. All investment decisions are your own responsibility.

※ Note: This research did not secure analyst target prices or support/resistance data published within the last 48 hours. To avoid fabricating price information, brokerage report sections are skipped.

Samsung Electronics (005930)

• Supply/Demand: Confirmed as a primary target for institutional net buying before the Chuseok holiday.
• Response Scenario: Check whether foreign and institutional net buying continues on the first trading day of reopening, alongside US semiconductor (major AI stock) conditions. If institutional demand holds, observe for extended strength; otherwise, wait for further developments.

SK hynix (000660)

• Supply/Demand: Included among stocks driven by institutional demand.
• Response Scenario: Monitor during the first hour of trading whether the 4.7 trillion won institutional buying momentum is maintained, or if it shifts to weakness reflecting US yield increases during the holiday.

US Ultra-Short-Term Treasury ETF (SGOV) (Overseas ETF)

• Movement: Ranked #1 in overseas net purchases by Korean investors in September at $241.86 million.
• Response Scenario: Tied to whether the domestic stock market shifts to a risk-on mode — the persistence of equity net buying will be a key observation point for the sustainability of short-term bond preference rallies.

내일 꼭 봐야 할 이벤트

• US stock market bond and oil trends immediately after closing: Top priority check before market open.
• Fed rate hike probability remarks and data flow: This week's yield spikes stemmed from inflation expectations and rate hike concerns.
• Progress in Middle Eastern (Hormuz) diplomatic negotiations: Will determine the direction of oil prices.

한 줄 전략 메모

The domestic market is closed for the holiday, and US interest rate and oil trends upon reopening (Sept 28) will be reflected directly. The fact that US stock indices managed weekly gains despite surging yields this week is interpreted as a sign of accepting oil and yield stabilization driven by Strait of Hormuz negotiation hopes. Prepare for scenarios where weakness intensifies or US yields surge again, but the core watchpoint will be checking whether institutional demand during the first hour of trading maintains the 4.7 trillion won pre-holiday buying scale.

용어 & 참고

• Supply and Demand (수급): Net buying/selling flows among foreigners, institutions, and retail investors.
• Box-range (박스권): A price range formed by 52-week or recent quarterly highs and lows.
• Support/Resistance (지지/저항): Actual levels observed in brokerage reports and charts.

This material is a market briefing compiling public news, disclosures, and brokerage reports. It is not a recommendation or guarantee of returns, and all trading decisions and outcomes rest entirely with the investor.